Gujarat Assembly Elections: Easy win for BJP but vote share to dip, claims ABP-CSDS survey
New Delhi: The second round of pre-poll survey conducted by ABP News-Lokniti CSDS, ahead of the Gujarat Assembly elections scheduled to be held in December, has predicted that the BJP will win the mandate with 113-121 seats.
Congress will continue to hold fort as the principal opposition, with the party bagging 58-64 seats, the survey projected.
A first round of survey conducted by ABP-CSDS ahead of Gujarat assembly polls had projected that the BJP will win 113-121 seats while the Congress will get 58-64 seats.
However, according to the second round of the poll conducted in the last week of October, BJP's seat share is expected to decline sharply from the prediction made in August.
The second round of the poll conducted by ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS in the state said the BJP would secure 47 per cent of the votes, down from 59 per cent in August, and the Congress would getting 41 per cent votes, a gain of 12 per cent.
#ABPGujaratPoll Votes#SaurashtraKutchh 54 seats— Dibang (@dibang) November 9, 2017
BJP 42% (-23)
Cong 42% (+16)
Others 16% (+7)#NorthGujarat 53 seats
BJP 44% (-15)
Cong 49% (+16)
Oth 7% (-1)#CentralGujarat 40 seats
Oth 8%(-6)#SouthGujarat 35 seats
In the first round of its pre-election poll conducted in the first half of August, the BJP was ahead of the Congress by 30 per cent in terms of people's voting preference. However, the advantage has come down to 6 per cent.
The survey found much of the Congress recovery taking place+ in two regions — Saurashtra-Kutch and North Gujarat.
In Saurashtra, the Congress and the BJP were found to be neck and neck at 42 per cent votes each and in North Gujarat, the Congress was ahead of the BJP by 7 per cent. Both these regions together account for 107 seats, which is well over half the seats in the 182-member Gujarat assembly.
Congress seems to be in trouble in its traditional stronghold of Central Gujarat. The poll found the party to be trailing the BJP in this region by 16 per cent. South Gujarat too seems to be swinging the BJP way for now. The survey found the BJP to be securing 51 per cent of the votes here compared to the Congress's 33 per cent.